Title :
Neuro-fuzzy predictive model for PV energy production based on weather forecast
Author :
Grimaccia, Francesco ; Mussetta, Marco ; Zich, Riccardo
Author_Institution :
Energy Dept., Politec. di Milano, Milan, Italy
Abstract :
This paper introduces an evolutionary optimization algorithm as a tool for training an Artificial Neural Network used for production forecasting of solar energy PV plants. This optimized procedure essentially represent a bio-inspired heuristic search technique which is used to solve complex forecasting problems modeled on the concepts of biological neurons. Some simulation results are reported to highlight advantages and drawbacks of the proposed method in order to suitably apply this algorithm to a neuro-fuzzy system application in solar energy production. The weather forecast data related to the PV plants are supplied by the airport service close to the production site and relative data are pre-processed using Fuzzy Logic techniques.
Keywords :
airports; bio-inspired materials; evolutionary computation; fuzzy neural nets; heuristic programming; photovoltaic power systems; power engineering computing; search problems; solar power stations; weather forecasting; PV energy production; airport service; artificial neural network; bioinspired heuristic search technique; biological neurons; complex forecasting problems; evolutionary optimization algorithm; fuzzy logic techniques; neuro-fuzzy predictive model; neuro-fuzzy system application; optimized procedure; production forecasting; production site; solar energy PV plants; solar energy production; weather forecast data; Artificial neural networks; Biological neural networks; Forecasting; Predictive models; Production; Weather forecasting; Neural Networks; PV energy prediction;
Conference_Titel :
Fuzzy Systems (FUZZ), 2011 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Taipei
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7315-1
Electronic_ISBN :
1098-7584
DOI :
10.1109/FUZZY.2011.6007687