A Model on the Relation between the Rainfall in Poyang Lake Basin and Its Water Level

Author

Zou, Youqin ; Zhou, Wenbin ; Zhong, Maosheng

Author_Institution

Key Lab. of Poyang Lake Ecology & Bio-resource Utilization, Nanchang Univ., Nanchang, China

fYear

2010

fDate

18-20 June 2010

Firstpage

1

Lastpage

4

Abstract

Poyang Lake collects the water of five rivers (Ganjiang River, Fuhe River, Xinjiang River, Raohe River and Xiushui River) in Jiangxi Province. Therefore, the rainfall of each area of Jiangxi Province has large influence on the water level of Poyang Lake. In order to facilitate the prediction of flooding in the basin and the warning of it beforehand, this paper aims to build a model on the relation between the rainfall in Poyang Lake basin and its water level by adopting the stepwise regression method, based on historical hydrological data. The F-hypothesis-test and the short-term predicting of water level in Poyang Lake show that the selected factors of our model are quite reasonable, and the model can predict very accurately.

Keywords

floods; hydrological techniques; lakes; rain; regression analysis; rivers; F-hypothesis-test; Fuhe River; Ganjiang River; Jiangxi Province; Poyang Lake basin; Raohe River; Xinjiang River; Xiushui River; flood prediction; historical hydrological data; rainfall; relation model; short-term water level prediction; stepwise regression method; Biological system modeling; Chemical engineering; Electronic mail; Environmental factors; Floods; Heart; Lakes; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Rivers;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Bioinformatics and Biomedical Engineering (iCBBE), 2010 4th International Conference on

Conference_Location

Chengdu

ISSN

2151-7614

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-4712-1

Electronic_ISBN

2151-7614

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/ICBBE.2010.5516861

Filename

5516861