Flood water level modelling and prediction using artificial neural network: Case study of Sungai Batu Pahat in Johor

Flood water level prediction has long been the earliest forecasting problems that have attracted the interest of many researchers. Accurate prediction of flood water level is extremely importance as an early warning system to the public to inform them about the possible incoming flood disaster. Using the collected data at the upstream and downstream station of a river, this paper proposes a modelling of flood water level at downstream station using back propagation neural network (BPN). In order to improve the prediction values, an extended Kalman filter was introduced at the output of the BPN. The introduction of extended Kalman filter at the output of BPN shows significant improvement to the prediction and tracking performance of the actual flood water level.