Title :
Achieving Disruptive Innovation - forecasting potential technologies based upon technical system evolution by TRIZ
Author :
Sun, Jianguang ; Gao, Jinyong ; Yang, Bojun ; Tan, Runhua
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Mech. Eng., Hebei Univ. of Technol., Tianjin
Abstract :
Disruptive Innovation can be defined as developing technologies that are typically cheaper, simpler to use and target low-end or new customers. This paper suggests that disruptive innovation theory needs to be forecasted by studying Ideal Final Result (IFR) of product. According to IFR, two kinds of evolutionary technologies (i.e., mainstream evolutionary technologies and laggard evolutionary technologies) can be detected. Then the necessary and sufficient condition for forecasting innovation technologies is established. Based on an evolution route line of TRIZ, the potential disruptive innovation can be forecasted. As a case study, the video game console system is investigated. The study shows that the adoption of TRIZ evolution theory in forecasting disruptive technologies of product is feasible.
Keywords :
innovation management; problem solving; technology management; disruptive innovation; forecasting potential technologies; innovation theory; laggard evolutionary technologies; mainstream evolutionary technologies; technical system evolution; Aging; Computer aided instruction; Economic forecasting; Mechanical engineering; Partial response channels; Power engineering and energy; Predictive models; Problem-solving; Technological innovation; Technology forecasting; disruptive innovation; laggard evolutionary technology; mainstream evolutionary technology; technical systems evolution route;
Conference_Titel :
Management of Innovation and Technology, 2008. ICMIT 2008. 4th IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Bangkok
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2329-3
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2330-9
DOI :
10.1109/ICMIT.2008.4654330
