Modeling Temporal Adoptions Using Dynamic Matrix Factorization

The problem of recommending items to users is relevant to many applications and the problem has often been solved using methods developed from Collaborative Filtering (CF). Collaborative Filtering model-based methods such as Matrix Factorization have been shown to produce good results for static rating-type data, but have not been applied to time-stamped item adoption data. In this paper, we adopted a Dynamic Matrix Factorization (DMF) technique to derive different temporal factorization models that can predict missing adoptions at different time steps in the users´ adoption history. This DMF technique is an extension of the Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF) based on the well-known class of models called Linear Dynamical Systems (LDS). By evaluating our proposed models against NMF and TimeSVD++ on two real datasets extracted from ACM Digital Library and DBLP, we show empirically that DMF can predict adoptions more accurately than the NMF for several prediction tasks as well as outperforming TimeSVD++ in some of the prediction tasks. We further illustrate the ability of DMF to discover evolving research interests for a few author examples.