• DocumentCode
    3194709
  • Title

    An efficient stock market forecasting model using neural networks

  • Author

    Atiya, Amir ; Talaat, Noha ; Shaheen, Samir

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Electr. Eng., California Inst. of Technol., Pasadena, CA, USA
  • Volume
    4
  • fYear
    1997
  • fDate
    9-12 Jun 1997
  • Firstpage
    2112
  • Abstract
    Forecasting financial markets has attracted the interest of neural network researchers. It is a challenging problem, where obtaining a 0.5+ε accuracy is an achievement. Researchers applied neural networks successfully to the problems of forecasting currencies, bonds, the futures markets, real estate, and the stock market. In this paper we develop a method for forecasting the stock market. We use novel aspects, in the sense that we base the forecast on fundamental company information, such as earnings per share, price earning ratio, dividends, sales, profit margin, etc. These indicators and ratios thereof, especially earnings related indicators, are the prime movers of a stock price. The preliminary results we obtain are very promising
  • Keywords
    finance; forecasting theory; neural nets; stock markets; company information; dividends; forecasting model; neural networks; price earning ratio; profit margin; sales; stock market; Computer networks; Economic forecasting; Load forecasting; Marketing and sales; Neural networks; Predictive models; Raw materials; Robustness; Stock markets; Technology forecasting;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Neural Networks,1997., International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Houston, TX
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7803-4122-8
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICNN.1997.614231
  • Filename
    614231