Title :
A tool for belief updating over time in Bayesian networks
Author :
Yang, Jie ; Mohan, Chilukuri K. ; Mehrotra, Kishan G. ; Varshney, Pramod K.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electr. & Comput. Eng., Syracuse Univ., NY, USA
Abstract :
We have developed a tool that facilitates dynamically updating beliefs with time. This tool addresses directed probabilistic inference networks that may contain cycles, and takes into account the time delays associated with observations and decisions. Relevance of different observers may decay at different rates in the same application, and the belief in a hypothesis decays towards the associated prior probability. Simple models with few parameters have been implemented, with a user interface that facilitates changes to the structure and parameters of the graphical model, and associated conditional probabilities.
Keywords :
belief maintenance; belief networks; inference mechanisms; Bayesian networks; belief updating; prior probability; probabilistic inference networks; updating beliefs; Bayesian methods; Computer science; Delay effects; Electronic switching systems; Inference algorithms; Intelligent networks; Intelligent sensors; Network servers; User interfaces; Vehicles;
Conference_Titel :
Tools with Artificial Intelligence, 2002. (ICTAI 2002). Proceedings. 14th IEEE International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7695-1849-4
DOI :
10.1109/TAI.2002.1180816