DocumentCode :
3209193
Title :
Discovering structural break in precious metal time series data
Author :
Jatarona, Nurul Najwa ; Ismail, Mohd Tahir
Author_Institution :
Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences, Universiti Teknologi Mara (UiTM) Perak, Bandar Baru Seri Iskandar, Malaysia
fYear :
2010
fDate :
5-7 Dec. 2010
Firstpage :
80
Lastpage :
85
Abstract :
Structural break is an important issue in macroeconomic time series data. The aim of this paper is to examine the structural break and to determine the exact break date in the price of commodity data using monthly data. We used two different techniques; first is Unit Root with Structural Break procedure and secondly is Zivot and Andrews test that allows for detecting a break at an unknown date. The results manage to detect structural break with different break date for different technique used during the period 1989 to 2009. We also conduct Bai Perron test which allows for more than one structural break. The result show that we manage to detect the best two break date for all three commodities.
Keywords :
Economics; Gold; Platinum; Production; Silver; Time series analysis; Bai Perron test; Precious Metal; Structural Break; Unit Root; Zivot and Andrews;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Science and Social Research (CSSR), 2010 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-8987-9
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/CSSR.2010.5773898
Filename :
5773898
Link To Document :
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