Title :
Does feedback improve the accuracy of recurrent judgmental forecasts?
Author :
Remus, William ; O´Connor, Mike ; Griggs, Kenneth
Author_Institution :
Hawaii Univ., Honolulu, HI, USA
Abstract :
Summary form only given. Feedback has been shown to be a useful tool improving decision making and might also be a useful tool in improving the accuracy of recurrent judgmental forecasts. The objective of this study was to examine the impact of feedback on accuracy when forecasting time series with structural instabilities. The underlying model and definitions were derived from (Balzer et al., 1992); the experimental design was similar to that used by (Remus et al., 1995)
Keywords :
decision theory; forecasting theory; time series; cognitive feedback; decision making; experimental design; feedback; recurrent judgmental forecasts; structural instabilities; time series; Computer industry; Data analysis; Decision making; Design for experiments; Humans; Programming; Software packages; State feedback; Testing; Time series analysis;
Conference_Titel :
System Sciences, 1997, Proceedings of the Thirtieth Hawaii International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wailea, HI
Print_ISBN :
0-8186-7743-0
DOI :
10.1109/HICSS.1997.661557