• DocumentCode
    321788
  • Title

    Does feedback improve the accuracy of recurrent judgmental forecasts?

  • Author

    Remus, William ; O´Connor, Mike ; Griggs, Kenneth

  • Author_Institution
    Hawaii Univ., Honolulu, HI, USA
  • Volume
    3
  • fYear
    1997
  • fDate
    7-10 Jan 1997
  • Firstpage
    5
  • Abstract
    Summary form only given. Feedback has been shown to be a useful tool improving decision making and might also be a useful tool in improving the accuracy of recurrent judgmental forecasts. The objective of this study was to examine the impact of feedback on accuracy when forecasting time series with structural instabilities. The underlying model and definitions were derived from (Balzer et al., 1992); the experimental design was similar to that used by (Remus et al., 1995)
  • Keywords
    decision theory; forecasting theory; time series; cognitive feedback; decision making; experimental design; feedback; recurrent judgmental forecasts; structural instabilities; time series; Computer industry; Data analysis; Decision making; Design for experiments; Humans; Programming; Software packages; State feedback; Testing; Time series analysis;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    System Sciences, 1997, Proceedings of the Thirtieth Hawaii International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Wailea, HI
  • ISSN
    1060-3425
  • Print_ISBN
    0-8186-7743-0
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/HICSS.1997.661557
  • Filename
    661557