Title :
China´s Monetary Policy in the Context of Financial Crisis
Author :
Meng, Lei ; Guo, Ju E. ; Zhang, Zengkai
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Manage., Xi´´an Jiaotong Univ., Xi´´an, China
Abstract :
This paper focuses on China´s monetary policy in the context of financial crisis. Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) method is used to extract the influencing factors of M2 and analyze their effects. We construct a VAR model to calculate the effects of monetary policy in the context of financial crisis since September 2008, and compare with that in the Asian financial crisis. The results show that the expansionary monetary policies eliminate the negative effects of prior period monetary policies and influences of the financial crisis. These policies avoid a further decline in China´s economy in time. The dramatically enhanced positive effects of monetary policy in the short-run may negatively impact economy by possible inflation expectations. The proposed subsequent monetary policy should be fine-tuned for inflation.
Keywords :
autoregressive processes; financial management; government policies; inflation (monetary); macroeconomics; Asian financial crisis; China monetary policy; VAR model; empirical mode decomposition method; expansionary monetary policies; inflation; vector autoregressive models; Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Economic indicators; Fluctuations; Government; Investments; EMD Analysis; Financial Crisis; Monetary Policy; VAR;
Conference_Titel :
Networking and Distributed Computing (ICNDC), 2010 First International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Hangzhou
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-8382-2
DOI :
10.1109/ICNDC.2010.64