A data-driven adaptability control method on the complex system of water resources

Aiming at solving the problems existing in the research of water resources regulation and management under the changing environment, the paper establishes a new paradigm taking the case of HongRu He river basin in China as an example. The paradigm is based on Complex Adaptive System (CAS) theory, data-driven technology and multi-agent computation technology, breaking the model of single agent and static controlling. The paper establishes a feedback-closed cycle model which includes three parts, such as data acquisition and processing, data-driven model discovery and performance recognition and data-driven regulation and output. Then the paper designs a kind of water adaptability dynamic control strategy based on active initiative and emergency intervention control. It includes: (1) modeling of water resources evolution system based on CAS; (2) a paradigm of water complex system of computer simulation analytical and adaptive control; (3) a scheme designed for the regulation and system behavior evaluation.