Title :
Communicating uncertainty information across conceptual boundaries
Author :
Hyden, Paul ; Ioup, Elias ; Russell, Stephen
Author_Institution :
Naval Res. Lab., Washington, DC, USA
Abstract :
Information about data collection and modeling risks are frequently locked with information providers rather than shared with downstream information consumers. Information consumers often ingest products automatically. Without protocols to inject uncertainty, the ensemble modeling products common in the modeling discipline cannot accurately account for the input uncertainty inherent to those products. Future work to establish use cases and incorporate practitioner-driven rules and protocols for transmitting tiered uncertainty information between information product producers and consumers will advance the needs of environmental, social, and economic actors in the ensemble modeling production chain. This in turn will allow for improved error transmission throughout the decision making enterprise.
Keywords :
decision making; information services; risk management; socio-economic effects; sustainable development; data collection; decision making enterprise; downstream information consumers; ensemble modeling production chain; error transmission; information product producers; information providers; practitioner-driven rules; uncertainty information communication; Biological system modeling; Economics; Geospatial analysis; Measurement uncertainty; Meteorology; Sea measurements; Uncertainty;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2011 Winter
Conference_Location :
Phoenix, AZ
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-2108-3
Electronic_ISBN :
0891-7736
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2011.6147832