Title :
Conditional value-at-risk model for hazardous materials transportation
Author_Institution :
SUNY - Univ. at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA
Abstract :
This paper investigates how the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) can be used to mitigate risk in hazardous materials (hazmat) transportation. Routing hazmat must consider accident probabilities and accident consequences that depend on the hazmat types and route choices. This paper proposes a new method for mitigating risk based on CVaR measure. While the CVaR model is popularly used in financial portfolio optimization problems, its application in hazmat transportation is new. A computational method for determining the optimal CVaR route is proposed and illustrated by a case study in the road network surrounding Albany, NY.
Keywords :
accidents; hazardous materials; investment; optimisation; risk analysis; road traffic; roads; transportation; CVaR model; accident consequence; accident probability; conditional value-at-risk model; financial portfolio optimization problem; hazardous material transportation; hazmat routing; optimal CVaR route; risk mitigation; road network; Accidents; Computational modeling; Hazardous materials; Optimization; Reactive power; Roads;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2011 Winter
Conference_Location :
Phoenix, AZ
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-2108-3
Electronic_ISBN :
0891-7736
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2011.6147886