Title :
An fuzzy forecasting algorithm for short term electricity loads based on partial clustering
Author :
Gu, Yun-dong ; Cheng, Jin-zeng ; Wang, Zi-yi
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Math. & Phys., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
A short-term load forecasting method using fuzzy inference based on partial clustering has been proposed. In this forecasting system, local feature selection is first used to find the proper feature subset for regional load forecasting. Then, the typical regional load patterns are obtained by partial feature clustering. Lastly, independent regional load forecasting models are established by using fuzzy inference based on these local typical load patterns. The performance of this method is proved to be satisfactory by a case study in Jiangning city of China.
Keywords :
fuzzy reasoning; load forecasting; pattern clustering; power engineering computing; fuzzy forecasting algorithm; fuzzy inference; local feature selection; partial clustering; partial feature clustering; regional load forecasting; short-term load forecasting method; Biological system modeling; Clustering algorithms; Forecasting; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Predictive models; Fuzzy inference; Local feature selection; Partial clustering; Regional short term electric load forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Guilin
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-0305-8
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2011.6017031