Title :
Estimating method of disease incidence in the SEIR epidemic model
Author :
Wei, Wei ; Zhang, Yongsheng
Author_Institution :
Luoyang Inst. of Sci. & Technol., Luoyang, China
Abstract :
Estimation of disease incidence is an important part of predicting and preventing the infectious disease in epidemic dynamics model. This thesis researched the application of a nonlinear observer in the SEIR epidemic dynamics model with latent period, made use of nonlinear observer to estimate epidemic incidence and infection rate coefficient and then proved the theoretical results by numerical simulations.
Keywords :
diseases; epidemics; estimation theory; SEIR epidemic dynamics model; disease incidence estimation; epidemic incidence; infection rate coefficient; infectious disease prediction; infectious disease prevention; nonlinear observer; numerical simulation; Adaptation model; Biological system modeling; Computational modeling; Diseases; Mathematical model; Observers; Silicon; SEIR epidemic model; disease incidence; estimating parameters; latent period; nonlinear observer;
Conference_Titel :
Electric Information and Control Engineering (ICEICE), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-8036-4
DOI :
10.1109/ICEICE.2011.5777766
