DocumentCode :
3291437
Title :
Research on Application of Grey Prediction Theory for Scientists and Technicians Forecasting: Evidence from Henan Province in China
Author :
Li, Wuwei
Author_Institution :
Zhengzhou Inst. of Aeronaut. Ind. Manage., Zhengzhou, China
fYear :
2009
fDate :
6-7 June 2009
Firstpage :
95
Lastpage :
98
Abstract :
Based on the statistical data during the period from 2001 to 2004 released by Henan statistical bureau in China, this paper aims to predict the amount of scientists and technicians of Henan province in China by the usage of GM (1, 1) model with the four items. The result of this etechnological policiesmpirical study is that the grey prediction theory can fit the scientists and technicians amount development precisely in Henan province. The accuracy of the prediction result is above 90% and corresponds with a distinction, which the grey theory can meet expectations with small samples or data. Research results show that this model established in this paper could provide valuable information for policy makers in their efforts to make appropriate technological policies.
Keywords :
grey systems; prediction theory; China development; GM (1, 1) model; grey prediction theory; scientists forecasting; technicians forecasting; Accuracy; Aerospace industry; Appropriate technology; Data analysis; Economic forecasting; Mathematical model; Prediction theory; Predictive models; Statistical analysis; Technological innovation; 1) model; GM(1; Henan province; forecasting; grey theory; scientists and technicians;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Web Mining and Web-based Application, 2009. WMWA '09. Second Pacific-Asia Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3646-0
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/WMWA.2009.65
Filename :
5232476
Link To Document :
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