Title :
Electricity Price Forecasting for PJM Day-Ahead Market
Author :
Mandal, Paras ; Senjyu, Tomonobu ; Urasaki, Naomitsu ; Funabashi, Toshihisa ; Srivastava, Anurag K.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electr. & Electron. Eng., Ryukyus Univ., Okinawa
fDate :
Oct. 29 2006-Nov. 1 2006
Abstract :
In competitive electricity markets, price forecasting is becoming increasingly relevant to power producers and consumers. Price forecasts provide crucial information for power producers and consumers to develop bidding strategies in order to maximize benefit. This paper provides a method for predicting day-ahead electricity prices in the PJM market using artificial neural network (ANN) computing technique, which is based on similar days approach. Publicly available data acquired from the PJM electricity market were used for training and testing the ANN. Comparison of forecasting performance with the proposed ANN is presented. The results obtained through the simulation show that the proposed algorithm is efficient, accurate and produces better results
Keywords :
economic forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; power markets; power system economics; pricing; ANN computing technique; ANN testing; PJM day-ahead market; artificial neural network; bidding strategies; electricity markets; electricity price forecasting; neural net training; power consumers; power producers; Artificial neural networks; Economic forecasting; Electricity supply industry; Electricity supply industry deregulation; Energy consumption; Hidden Markov models; Power generation economics; Power system economics; Predictive models; Risk management;
Conference_Titel :
Power Systems Conference and Exposition, 2006. PSCE '06. 2006 IEEE PES
Conference_Location :
Atlanta, GA
Print_ISBN :
1-4244-0177-1
Electronic_ISBN :
1-4244-0178-X
DOI :
10.1109/PSCE.2006.296496