DocumentCode
3332297
Title
Monthly rainfall forecasting model with hidden periodicities
Author
Chunhua Shi ; Huimin Wang ; Fancheng Yin
Author_Institution
State Key Lab. of Hydrol.-Water Resources & Hydraulic Eng., Hohai Univ., Nanjing, China
Volume
2
fYear
2011
fDate
22-24 Aug. 2011
Firstpage
1239
Lastpage
1242
Abstract
This paper models the monthly rainfall series by SARIMA and spectrum methods. The hidden periodicities of unspecified frequency are resolved by periodogram, Fisher´s test and Kolmogorov-Simirnov test. Then the presence of a non-sinusoidal periodic component with specified integer-value period is confirmed. For comparison, SARIMA models are also established for prediction.
Keywords
geophysics computing; rain; weather forecasting; Fisher´s test; Kolmogorov-Simirnov test; SARIMA; hidden periodicities; integer-value period; monthly rainfall forecasting model; monthly rainfall series; nonsinusoidal periodic component; periodogram; spectrum method; Cascading style sheets; Maximum likelihood estimation; Noise; Predictive models; Robustness; TV; Spectrum; fisher´s test; hidden periodicities; kolmogorov-Simirnov test; periodogram;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Strategic Technology (IFOST), 2011 6th International Forum on
Conference_Location
Harbin, Heilongjiang
Print_ISBN
978-1-4577-0398-0
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/IFOST.2011.6021244
Filename
6021244
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