Title :
One day ahead load forecasting for electricity market of Iran by ANN
Author :
Azadeh, A. ; Ghadrei, S.F. ; Nokhandan, B. Pourvalikhan
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Ind. Eng., Univ. of Tehran, Tehran
Abstract :
One of the basic requirements for power systems is accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF). In this study, the application of artificial neural networks is explored for designing of short-term load forecasting systems for electricity market of Iran. In this paper, two seasonal artificial neural networks (ANNs) are designed and compared; so that model 2 (hourly load forecasting model) is partitioning of model 1 (daily load forecasting model). Our study based on feed-forward back propagation is trained and tested using three years (2003-2005) data. At the end, extensive data sets test the results; and good agreement is founded between actual data and NN results. Results show that daily forecasting model is better than the hourly one.
Keywords :
backpropagation; load forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; power markets; Iran; artificial neural networks; electricity market; feedforward back propagation; short-term load forecasting; Artificial neural networks; Economic forecasting; Electricity supply industry; Feedforward systems; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Power system modeling; Power system security; Predictive models; Testing; ANN; STLF; feed-forward back propagation;
Conference_Titel :
Power Engineering, Energy and Electrical Drives, 2009. POWERENG '09. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Lisbon
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4611-7
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2291-3
DOI :
10.1109/POWERENG.2009.4915144