Title :
Optimized Purchasing Strategy of Electric Power Distributers Based on the Markowitz Theory
Author :
Chen Wen ; Li Chun-Jie ; Zhao Hui-ru
Author_Institution :
North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing
Abstract :
In the deregulated electricity market, the vertically-integrated monopoly structure was broken. Competitive electricity market was formed. How to make the purchasing decisions in different market and optimize the portfolios of contracts to minimize risks and maximize profits becomes the major concern of discos. In this paper, a bi-objective programming model is established based on the Markowitz theory for the investment risk, with minimizing purchasing cost and minimizing its risks being the objectives. The necessity to study financial risks in electricity markets, the application of the Value at Risk (VaR) method and the feasibility of historical simulations are discussed.
Keywords :
contracts; monopoly; power markets; purchasing; risk analysis; Markowitz theory; bi-objective programming model; contracts; deregulated electricity market; electric power distribution; financial risks; purchasing strategy; value-at-risk method; vertically-integrated monopoly structure; Contracts; Cost function; Economic forecasting; Electricity supply industry; Electricity supply industry deregulation; Fluctuations; Optimization methods; Power markets; Reactive power; Risk management; Markowitz theory; Monte Carlo simulation; power market; risk analysis; value at risk (VaR);
Conference_Titel :
Risk Management & Engineering Management, 2008. ICRMEM '08. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Beijing
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3402-2
DOI :
10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.112