Title :
Study on Intelligent Optimization Model Based on Grey Relational Grade in LongMedium Term Power Load Rolling Forecasting
Author :
Niu, Dong-xiao ; Jia, Jian-rong ; Lv, Jia-liang ; Zhang, Yuan
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Bus. Adm., NCEPU, Beijing
Abstract :
According to the low sample and multifactor impact for long-medium term power load forecasting, the grey relational grade was used in screening factors, the combined model in BP neural network and SVM was established, and the multivariate variables and history load variables were used to roll prediction. The combined predictive values are obviously better than single method. Empirical study showed that the method in this paper is superior to conventional method, so it is worth to be extended and applied.
Keywords :
backpropagation; grey systems; load forecasting; neural nets; optimisation; power engineering computing; support vector machines; BP neural network; SVM; grey relational grade; intelligent optimization model; long-medium term power load forecasting; power load rolling forecasting; Economic forecasting; Fitting; Intelligent networks; Load forecasting; Neural networks; Power system planning; Predictive models; Research and development management; Risk management; Support vector machines; BP neural network; Grey relational grade; Power load forecasting; SVM;
Conference_Titel :
Risk Management & Engineering Management, 2008. ICRMEM '08. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Beijing
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3402-2
DOI :
10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.32