Title :
An Immune-based Combination Predication Model for network security situation
Author :
Shi, Yuanquan ; Li, Tao ; Chen, Wen ; Zhang, Ruirui
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Comput. Sci., Sichuan Univ., Chengdu, China
Abstract :
Due to the randomicity of network suffered from security attacks and the uncertainty of network security situation, it is difficult to precisely predict network security situation in single predication model. Therefore, an immune-based combination predication model for network security situation (ICPM) is proposed by using GM(1,1) and artificial immune predication model (AIPM). In ICPM, the trend component of a time series of network security situation are predicted by GM(1,1) model, and the random component of that are predicated by AIPM model, and then the slide window mechanism is introduced to be used for dynamically predicting network security situation. Experimental results show that ICPM model can forecast the future network security situation real-timely and correctly, and simultaneity its results are more precise than that of GM(1,1) model and AIPM model.
Keywords :
queueing theory; security of data; GM(1,1) model; artificial immune predication model; immune-based combination predication model; network security situation; security attacks; single predication model; slide window mechanism; Artificial intelligence; Biological system modeling; Computer security; Immune system; Intelligent networks; Intelligent transportation systems; Power electronics; Power system modeling; Power system security; Predictive models; artificial immune predication; combination prediction; grey predication; network security situation;
Conference_Titel :
Power Electronics and Intelligent Transportation System (PEITS), 2009 2nd International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shenzhen
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4544-8
DOI :
10.1109/PEITS.2009.5406845