Title :
The study of long-term load forecasting based on method combination innovation
Author :
Xie Chuansheng ; Jia Xiaoxi ; Hou Wentian
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Econ. & Manage., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
Long-term load forecasting is the guarantee of sustaining the safety and stable of the electricity system, therefore, it is the most important foundation to establish correct and effective load forecasting model .Based on the existing grey prediction ,trend prediction and second exponential smoothing method, innovative idea is introduced in this paper. Through empirical research, it can be concluded that this method has higher research value.
Keywords :
electrical safety; grey systems; innovation management; load forecasting; power system stability; ,trend prediction; electricity system safety; electricity system stability; grey prediction; long-term load forecasting; method combination innovation; second exponential smoothing method; Computers; Decision support systems; Mechatronics; Long term load forecasting; Power Systems; empirical research; method combination innovation;
Conference_Titel :
Mechatronic Science, Electric Engineering and Computer (MEC), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Jilin
Print_ISBN :
978-1-61284-719-1
DOI :
10.1109/MEC.2011.6025758
