Title :
Application of chaotic neural network in power system load forecasting
Author :
Yu-hong Zhao ; Jin-feng Xiao
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Electr. Eng., Univ. of South China, Hengyang, China
Abstract :
Power system load forecasting is one of the important work of electricity production departments, the load demand is affected by many factors (such as weather, economic, and social activities, etc.) effects, and their relationship is complex, unclear, so it is difficulty to predict the load accurately. In order to improve short term load forecasting accuracy, according to this non-linear reconstruction technique based on chaos theory we constructed an improved BP algorithm based on chaotic neural network short term load forecasting model in this paper. The above model and the algorithm was applied to the short-term power load forecasting of an south area, made a good prediction.
Keywords :
backpropagation; chaos; load forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; BP algorithm; chaos theory; chaotic neural network application; economic activities; electricity production departments; load demand; load forecasting; nonlinear reconstruction technique; power system load forecasting; social activities; weather activities; Chaos; Correlation; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Predictive models; Space vehicles; Time series analysis; chaos; improved BP algorithm; neural network; power load;
Conference_Titel :
Mechatronic Science, Electric Engineering and Computer (MEC), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Jilin
Print_ISBN :
978-1-61284-719-1
DOI :
10.1109/MEC.2011.6025790