• DocumentCode
    3397378
  • Title

    Wind Power Prediction Based on BPNN and LSA

  • Author

    Li, Mei ; Pan, Yanhong

  • Author_Institution
    Coll. of Mech. & Electr. Eng., China Jiliang Univ., Hangzhou, China
  • fYear
    2012
  • fDate
    27-29 March 2012
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    5
  • Abstract
    Wind power is a very universal power generation technology in recent years. China´s wind power technology has come to large-scale development stage. Because of its intermittence, instability, hard-predictability, especially when it parallels in the whole grid, it can bring great influence to the stability and safety of the whole power grid. In order to solve the problem of wind power, it is necessary to predict wind power. There are two commonly used methods. Through the forecasted wind speed on BP neural network (BPNN) prediction methods, combining with the wind speed and power, the paper conducted wind-power prediction. Another is directly power prediction based on the speed and power data. Applying least-square regression analysis, the results of relationships of speed, temperature and power can be easily achieved. What´s more, this paper applied time-sequence method in preliminary wind speed prediction. With SPSS software, this paper mapped the changing characteristics of the sequence.
  • Keywords
    backpropagation; least squares approximations; neural nets; power engineering computing; power grids; regression analysis; wind power plants; BPNN; China wind power technology; LSA; SPSS software; backpropagation neural network prediction methods; large-scale development stage; least-square regression analysis; power grid safety; power grid stability; time-sequence method; universal power generation technology; wind power prediction; Educational institutions; Forecasting; Power system stability; Time series analysis; Training; Wind power generation; Wind speed;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC), 2012 Asia-Pacific
  • Conference_Location
    Shanghai
  • ISSN
    2157-4839
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4577-0545-8
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/APPEEC.2012.6307572
  • Filename
    6307572