DocumentCode
3397378
Title
Wind Power Prediction Based on BPNN and LSA
Author
Li, Mei ; Pan, Yanhong
Author_Institution
Coll. of Mech. & Electr. Eng., China Jiliang Univ., Hangzhou, China
fYear
2012
fDate
27-29 March 2012
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
5
Abstract
Wind power is a very universal power generation technology in recent years. China´s wind power technology has come to large-scale development stage. Because of its intermittence, instability, hard-predictability, especially when it parallels in the whole grid, it can bring great influence to the stability and safety of the whole power grid. In order to solve the problem of wind power, it is necessary to predict wind power. There are two commonly used methods. Through the forecasted wind speed on BP neural network (BPNN) prediction methods, combining with the wind speed and power, the paper conducted wind-power prediction. Another is directly power prediction based on the speed and power data. Applying least-square regression analysis, the results of relationships of speed, temperature and power can be easily achieved. What´s more, this paper applied time-sequence method in preliminary wind speed prediction. With SPSS software, this paper mapped the changing characteristics of the sequence.
Keywords
backpropagation; least squares approximations; neural nets; power engineering computing; power grids; regression analysis; wind power plants; BPNN; China wind power technology; LSA; SPSS software; backpropagation neural network prediction methods; large-scale development stage; least-square regression analysis; power grid safety; power grid stability; time-sequence method; universal power generation technology; wind power prediction; Educational institutions; Forecasting; Power system stability; Time series analysis; Training; Wind power generation; Wind speed;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC), 2012 Asia-Pacific
Conference_Location
Shanghai
ISSN
2157-4839
Print_ISBN
978-1-4577-0545-8
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/APPEEC.2012.6307572
Filename
6307572
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