Title :
A methodology for electrical energy forecast and its spatial allocation over developing boroughs
Author :
Vasquez-Arnez, R.L. ; Jardini, J.A. ; Casolari, R. ; Magrini, L.C. ; Semolini, R. ; Pascon, J.R.
Author_Institution :
Electr. Power & Autom. Eng. Dept., Univ. of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
Abstract :
Spatial load forecasting is not an accurate subject, yet it is important for the future safe operation of a distribution system. In this paper, a methodology for spatial load forecasting based on the combination of aerial images with statically procedures applicable to developing boroughs, is presented. The core of the study underlies in the adjustment and construction of the S-curves of both saturated and non-saturated small areas. The proposed methodology is validated through the energy forecast and its spatial allocation over a pilot borough.
Keywords :
distribution networks; load forecasting; S-curves construction; distribution system; electrical energy forecast; spatial load forecasting; Artificial neural networks; Automation; Demand forecasting; Demography; Economic indicators; Investments; Load forecasting; Power engineering and energy; Regulators; Transformers; Energy; Load forecast; S-curve; Small area; Spatial allocation;
Conference_Titel :
Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition, 2008. T&D. IEEE/PES
Conference_Location :
Chicago, IL
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1903-6
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-1904-3
DOI :
10.1109/TDC.2008.4517252