Title :
Support vector regression-based short-term wind power prediction with false neighbours filtered
Author :
Zhu, L. ; Wu, Q.H. ; Li, M.S. ; Jiang, L. ; Smith, Jeffrey S.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electr. Eng. & Electron., Univ. of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
Abstract :
Wind power prediction has received much attention due to the development renewable energy sources using wind power. The paper presents a new approach which is a support vector regression (SVR) based local predictor (LP) with false neighbours filtered (FNF-SVRLP) to undertake short-term wind power perdition. The proposed predication method not only combines the powerful SVR with the reconstruction properties of time series, but also overcomes the drawback of the original local predictor by removing false neighbours. The proposed method (FNF-SVRLP) is evaluated with the real world wind power data, and the final performance is compared with the support vector regression based local predictor (SVRLP) and the autoregressive moving average (ARMA). The results demonstrate that the proposed method can achieve a better performance than the other methods.
Keywords :
autoregressive moving average processes; power engineering computing; regression analysis; support vector machines; time series; wind power; wind power plants; ARMA; FNF; SVR-based local predictor; SVRLP; autoregressive moving average process; false neighbours filtering; renewable energy sources; support vector regression; time series; wind power prediction; Autoregressive processes; Correlation; Predictive models; Renewable energy sources; Support vector machines; Time series analysis; Wind power generation; Short-term wind power prediction; false neighbours; local predictor; phase space reconstruction; support vector regression;
Conference_Titel :
Renewable Energy Research and Applications (ICRERA), 2013 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Madrid
DOI :
10.1109/ICRERA.2013.6749851