DocumentCode
3408473
Title
A fuzzy risk analysis model of regional drought disaster
Author
Zhu, Huiyun ; Chen, Senfa ; Zhang, Lijie
Author_Institution
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Southeast Univ., Nanjing, China
fYear
2009
fDate
10-12 Nov. 2009
Firstpage
1739
Lastpage
1743
Abstract
Because of the uncertainty of drought disaster events, it is often difficult to obtain accurate information of their probability. In this paper, we use information distribution and interior-outer-set model to tackle this challenging problem by obtaining the possibility - probability distribution of drought disaster events, which can express the fuzziness of probability of drought disaster events. We take a sample data set of the precipitation of Nanjing and Xuzhou, and calculate the possibility - probability distribution. The results demonstrate the feasibilities and effectiveness of the proposed method.
Keywords
agriculture; disasters; statistical distributions; drought disaster; fuzzy risk analysis; information distribution; interior-outer-set model; probability distribution; Crisis management; Crops; Decision making; Disaster management; Electrical capacitance tomography; Meteorology; Probability distribution; Risk analysis; Risk management; Systems engineering and theory;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2009. GSIS 2009. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Nanjing
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-4914-9
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-4916-3
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/GSIS.2009.5408196
Filename
5408196
Link To Document