• DocumentCode
    3409858
  • Title

    Grey system theory based default risk model of power clients

  • Author

    Zhou, H. ; Wang, Y. ; Wang, W. ; Li, T. ; Yang, H.

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Electr. Power Eng., Beijing Jiaotong Univ., Beijing, China
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    10-12 Nov. 2009
  • Firstpage
    521
  • Lastpage
    524
  • Abstract
    To be clear of the default probability of electricity fees from power clients in advance and change the postmortem management mode to the preventive management mode, it would decrease the default risk greatly in the process of electricity sales in the utility. Based on the analysis of complicated reasons of default, the main elements whose effect on default are known, the risk model involved with feature variables of default is constructed with the theory of grey system predication. Next, using a grey cluster algorithm, we classified clients into different categories according to the prediction of theirs feature variables, which would be valuable reference for power company to subdivide the consumption market and make out distinguishing credit management strategy.
  • Keywords
    grey systems; power markets; risk management; default risk model; grey cluster algorithm; grey system theory; postmortem management mode; power clients; preventive management mode; Companies; Defense industry; Economic forecasting; Electricity supply industry; Energy management; History; Power system management; Power system modeling; Risk analysis; Risk management;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2009. GSIS 2009. IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Nanjing
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-4914-9
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-4916-3
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/GSIS.2009.5408259
  • Filename
    5408259