DocumentCode
3409858
Title
Grey system theory based default risk model of power clients
Author
Zhou, H. ; Wang, Y. ; Wang, W. ; Li, T. ; Yang, H.
Author_Institution
Sch. of Electr. Power Eng., Beijing Jiaotong Univ., Beijing, China
fYear
2009
fDate
10-12 Nov. 2009
Firstpage
521
Lastpage
524
Abstract
To be clear of the default probability of electricity fees from power clients in advance and change the postmortem management mode to the preventive management mode, it would decrease the default risk greatly in the process of electricity sales in the utility. Based on the analysis of complicated reasons of default, the main elements whose effect on default are known, the risk model involved with feature variables of default is constructed with the theory of grey system predication. Next, using a grey cluster algorithm, we classified clients into different categories according to the prediction of theirs feature variables, which would be valuable reference for power company to subdivide the consumption market and make out distinguishing credit management strategy.
Keywords
grey systems; power markets; risk management; default risk model; grey cluster algorithm; grey system theory; postmortem management mode; power clients; preventive management mode; Companies; Defense industry; Economic forecasting; Electricity supply industry; Energy management; History; Power system management; Power system modeling; Risk analysis; Risk management;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2009. GSIS 2009. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Nanjing
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-4914-9
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-4916-3
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/GSIS.2009.5408259
Filename
5408259
Link To Document