DocumentCode :
3409858
Title :
Grey system theory based default risk model of power clients
Author :
Zhou, H. ; Wang, Y. ; Wang, W. ; Li, T. ; Yang, H.
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Electr. Power Eng., Beijing Jiaotong Univ., Beijing, China
fYear :
2009
fDate :
10-12 Nov. 2009
Firstpage :
521
Lastpage :
524
Abstract :
To be clear of the default probability of electricity fees from power clients in advance and change the postmortem management mode to the preventive management mode, it would decrease the default risk greatly in the process of electricity sales in the utility. Based on the analysis of complicated reasons of default, the main elements whose effect on default are known, the risk model involved with feature variables of default is constructed with the theory of grey system predication. Next, using a grey cluster algorithm, we classified clients into different categories according to the prediction of theirs feature variables, which would be valuable reference for power company to subdivide the consumption market and make out distinguishing credit management strategy.
Keywords :
grey systems; power markets; risk management; default risk model; grey cluster algorithm; grey system theory; postmortem management mode; power clients; preventive management mode; Companies; Defense industry; Economic forecasting; Electricity supply industry; Energy management; History; Power system management; Power system modeling; Risk analysis; Risk management;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2009. GSIS 2009. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Nanjing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4914-9
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4916-3
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/GSIS.2009.5408259
Filename :
5408259
Link To Document :
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