• DocumentCode
    3410075
  • Title

    Construction and application of unequal interval GM (1,1) prediction model based on multilevel residual amendment

  • Author

    Kegang, Li

  • Author_Institution
    Fac. of Land Resource Eng., Kunming Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Kunming, China
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    10-12 Nov. 2009
  • Firstpage
    471
  • Lastpage
    475
  • Abstract
    Prediction for slope displacement can prevent the occurrence of slope disasters effectively. Original grey GM(1,1) model is usually used in simulation and prediction of equidistant monitoring data sequence, but the actual situation is the monitoring data which obtained appear unequal interval phenomenon. So, unequal interval grey GM(1,1) model is established after analyzing the establishing principal of original equal interval GM(1,1) model, and the method for calculating the grey parameter is discussed. At last, the improved model is applied for analyzing the B3 monitoring data of a slope of the YU-QIAN highway. By comparing the improved method for grey parameter calculation with the conventional method, it is proved that the modified GM(1,1) model has high accuracy and the prediction results agrees well with the actual behavior of the slope.
  • Keywords
    geotechnical engineering; grey systems; YU-QIAN highway; multilevel residual amendment; original grey model; slope disasters; slope system; Accuracy; Data engineering; Deformable models; Differential equations; Geology; Intelligent systems; Monitoring; Predictive models; Road transportation; Stability;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2009. GSIS 2009. IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Nanjing
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-4914-9
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-4916-3
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/GSIS.2009.5408269
  • Filename
    5408269