Title :
Application Study of BP Neural Network on Stock Market Prediction
Author :
Li, Feng ; Liu, Cheng
Author_Institution :
Economic Manage. Inst., Univ. of Sci. & Technol. Beijing, Beijing, China
Abstract :
Aiming at the complexity of interior and variety of exterior structure of stock price system, this paper analyzes principles of stock prediction based on BP neural network, provides prediction model for stock market by utilizing three-layered feed forward neural networks, presents topology of network, principles of determining the number of hidden layers, selection and pretreatment of sample data and determination of preliminary parameters. In order to avoid local extremum and promote convergence speed, Levenberg-Marquardt BP algorithm has been adopted. Simulation experiment based on representative index from Shanghai stock exchange market, through training on selecting samples and prediction model, indicates that this algorithm can make efficient short-term prediction.
Keywords :
feedforward neural nets; stock markets; BP neural network; Levenberg-Marquardt BP algorithm; Shanghai stock exchange market; prediction model; stock market prediction; stock price system; three-layered feed forward neural networks; Artificial neural networks; Economic forecasting; Feedforward neural networks; Feeds; Forward contracts; Joining processes; Neural networks; Predictive models; Stock markets; Testing; BP neural network; number of hidden nodes; stock index prediction; strategy of sampling;
Conference_Titel :
Hybrid Intelligent Systems, 2009. HIS '09. Ninth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shenyang
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3745-0
DOI :
10.1109/HIS.2009.248