DocumentCode :
3414361
Title :
The Dynamic Immune Forecasting Method of the Airdrome Flight Delay under Considering the Stochastic Factors
Author :
Ding, Jianli ; Li, Xuesen ; Tong, Guansheng
Author_Institution :
Coll. of Comput. Sci. & Technol., Civil Aviation Univ. of China, Tianjin, China
Volume :
3
fYear :
2009
fDate :
12-14 Aug. 2009
Firstpage :
382
Lastpage :
387
Abstract :
There are many uncertain stochastic factors in the process of the airdrome flight delay forecast, especially the cumulate diversification and propagation effect of the flight delays. The paper is on the base of the immune detection for the airdrome flight delay status, considering the dynamic diversification and stochastic factors of the airdrome flight delays. Propose the dynamic immune forecasting method of the airdrome flight delays under the stochastic factors and establish corresponding collection of self, detecting cells, the information of antigens and the matching model between them through setting up correspondence between the biological immune mechanism and flight operating mechanism. The result shows the method can forecast the count of flight delay in the next period of time accurately and has a good real-time characteristic.
Keywords :
aerospace control; artificial immune systems; delays; stochastic processes; uncertain systems; airdrome flight delay; antigens; biological immune mechanism; cumulate diversification; dynamic diversification; dynamic immune forecasting method; flight operating mechanism; immune detection; propagation effect; uncertain stochastic factors; Delay effects; Detectors; Hybrid intelligent systems; Immune system; Information technology; Predictive models; Propagation delay; Stochastic processes; Stochastic systems; Yttrium; dynamic forecasting; flight delays; negative selection algorithm; stochastic factors;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Hybrid Intelligent Systems, 2009. HIS '09. Ninth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shenyang
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3745-0
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/HIS.2009.290
Filename :
5254601
Link To Document :
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