Title :
Short-term forecasting of Algerian load using fuzzy logic and expert system
Author :
Farah, N. ; Khadir, M.T. ; Bouaziz, I. ; Kennouche, H.
Author_Institution :
Electron. Lab. of Documents Manage. (Labged), Univ. Badji Mokhtar, Annaba, Algeria
Abstract :
The industry of electrical energy in the majority of the developing countries is changing from an operational approach centralized towards a competing approach. The notion of forecasting of electrical energy by only one public services, is replaced by the concept that a competitive market is a mechanism more appropriate to ensure energy the consumers with a high reliability at less cost. Algeria counts among these countries. Under such competition conditions, forecasting becomes a powerful tool in the search for higher outputs. Indeed, because electrical energy cannot be stored, the single physical condition which would ensure an optimal output, is a production equal to consumption. A valid model (or forecast tool) for the forecasts of load and/or electricity consumption, will help to reach this condition. This work presents the results obtained by a prediction model based on fuzzy logic and expert system and developed with C# which will facilitate the deployment on a server to be accessed from the Web.
Keywords :
electricity supply industry; expert systems; fuzzy logic; load forecasting; object-oriented programming; power consumption; power engineering computing; time series; C# language; competitive market; developing country; electrical energy industry; electricity consumption; expert system; fuzzy logic; operational approach; prediction model; public service; short-term Algerian load forecasting; time series; Consumer electronics; Costs; Economic forecasting; Energy consumption; Expert systems; Fuzzy logic; Humans; Load forecasting; Predictive models; Production;
Conference_Titel :
Multimedia Computing and Systems, 2009. ICMCS '09. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Ouarzazate
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3756-6
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3757-3
DOI :
10.1109/MMCS.2009.5256725