DocumentCode :
344623
Title :
Time series prediction using the parallel-structure fuzzy system
Author :
Kim, Min-Soo ; Kong, Seong-Gon
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electr. Eng., Soongsil Univ., Seoul, South Korea
Volume :
2
fYear :
1999
fDate :
22-25 Aug. 1999
Firstpage :
934
Abstract :
This paper presents the parallel-structure fuzzy system (PSFS) for predicting chaotic time series. The PSFS consists of multiple number of fuzzy systems connected in parallel. The fuzzy system contains Sugeno type fuzzy rules modeled using input-output training data. Each fuzzy system in the PSFS predicts the same future value based on input data with different embedding dimension and time delay. The embedding dimension is chosen optimally to have superior performance for each value of time delay. The PSFS determines the final predicted value by averaging the outputs of each fuzzy system excluding the minimum and the maximum values in order to reduce error accumulation effect.
Keywords :
chaos; delays; forecasting theory; fuzzy set theory; fuzzy systems; time series; Sugeno type; chaos; embedding dimension; forecasting theory; parallel-structure fuzzy system; time delay; time series; Chaos; Delay effects; Fuzzy systems; Modems; Nonlinear systems; Prediction theory; Predictive models; Statistical analysis; Training data; Uncertainty;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Fuzzy Systems Conference Proceedings, 1999. FUZZ-IEEE '99. 1999 IEEE International
Conference_Location :
Seoul, South Korea
ISSN :
1098-7584
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-5406-0
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/FUZZY.1999.793077
Filename :
793077
Link To Document :
بازگشت