Title :
Financial Prediction: Application of Logistic Regression with Factor Analysis
Author :
Han Dongmei ; Ma Liqun ; Yu Changrui
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Inf. Manage. & Eng., Shanghai Univ. of Finance & Econ., Shanghai
Abstract :
Logistic regression is a very common method in financial prediction. In order to establish the more effective model, the paper introduces factor analysis into logistic regression to overcome multiple co-linearity among variables and meanwhile retain useful information of original variables. The result shows that this model has better predictive capability. This suggests that for policymakers and others interested in prediction system, this may be a useful tool for forecast firm failure.
Keywords :
financial data processing; regression analysis; factor analysis; financial prediction; logistic regression; Crisis management; Economic forecasting; Equations; Finance; Financial management; Information analysis; Information management; Logistics; Predictive models; Testing;
Conference_Titel :
Wireless Communications, Networking and Mobile Computing, 2008. WiCOM '08. 4th International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Dalian
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2107-7
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2108-4
DOI :
10.1109/WiCom.2008.2308