Title :
Fractal feature analysis of on-grid price and demonstration research based on the market environment
Author :
Hai-yang, Jiang ; Zhong-fu, Tan ; Mian-bin, Wang
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Electr. Econ., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing
Abstract :
Based on the time series of on-grid price data in PJM power market, this paper analyses the fractal features in different time scales by using the rescaled range analysis(R/S analysis). By computing Hurst exponent, we present the long-term memory of the on-grid price in PJM. Using V-statistic to analyze the long memorial mechanism of on-grid price systems, and using t-statistic to carry through a significant test. The research can provide a new pattern to describe electricity prices´ distribution in power market.
Keywords :
power distribution economics; power grids; power markets; pricing; statistical analysis; time series; Hurst exponent; V-statistic; electricity price distribution; fractal feature analysis; market environment; memorial mechanism; ongrid price data; power market; time series; Chaos; Economic forecasting; Electronic mail; Environmental economics; Fluctuations; Fractals; Power generation; Power generation economics; Power markets; Time series analysis; Fractal features; On-grid price; urst exponent R/S analysis;
Conference_Titel :
Electric Utility Deregulation and Restructuring and Power Technologies, 2008. DRPT 2008. Third International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Nanjuing
Print_ISBN :
978-7-900714-13-8
Electronic_ISBN :
978-7-900714-13-8
DOI :
10.1109/DRPT.2008.4523437