Title :
Online prediction of time series using incremental wavelet decomposition and support vector machine
Author :
Kong, Yinghui ; Yuan, Jinsha ; Yan, Feng ; Shi, Yancui
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Electr. & Electron. Eng., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding
Abstract :
Time series prediction is widely used in industry engineering, finance, economy, traffic and many other fields. For power system, prediction is often concerned, and online prediction has significance to the system operation safely and steadily. An efficient method for online prediction of time series using wavelet decompositions and support vector machine is presented, which can improve the prediction accuracy. For online application, sliding window model and incremental algorithms for wavelet decompositions are used. This method has low cost in memory and run time, it can predict time series in high accuracy and less time. Simulation experiment using gas furnace time series dataset show the effectiveness of proposed method.
Keywords :
load forecasting; power system analysis computing; support vector machines; time series; wavelet transforms; gas furnace time series dataset; incremental wavelet decomposition; load prediction; online time series prediction; power system safe operation; sliding window model; support vector machine; Finance; Multiresolution analysis; Power engineering and energy; Power system modeling; Power system simulation; Prediction methods; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Technology management; Wavelet transforms; Prediction methods; real time systems; regression estimation; support vector machine (SVM); time series; wavelet transforms;
Conference_Titel :
Electric Utility Deregulation and Restructuring and Power Technologies, 2008. DRPT 2008. Third International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Nanjuing
Print_ISBN :
978-7-900714-13-8
Electronic_ISBN :
978-7-900714-13-8
DOI :
10.1109/DRPT.2008.4523814