• DocumentCode
    3497075
  • Title

    Forecasting of wind speed based on wavelet analysis and support vector machine

  • Author

    Songlin, Zhou ; Meiqin, Mao ; Chang, Liuchen

  • Author_Institution
    Res. Center for Photovoltaic Syst. Eng. Minist. of Educ., Hefei Univ. of Technol., Hefei, China
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    16-18 June 2010
  • Firstpage
    864
  • Lastpage
    867
  • Abstract
    A new forecasting method of wind speed based on wavelet analysis and support vector machine is proposed in this paper. By the method, firstly, the original wind speed sequences are decomposed into coarse components and detail components, and secondly, every wavelet components are separately forecasted with corresponding support vector machine models. Finally, the forecasting results of original wind speed series are achieved by using wavelet reconstruction. The experimental results by simulation prove that this method is capable of improving generalization performance and forecasting precision. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) reaches 8.21%.
  • Keywords
    Accuracy; Forecasting; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Wavelet analysis; Wind forecasting; Wind speed; Generalization performance; Support vector machine; Wavelet analysis; Wind speed forecasting;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Power Electronics for Distributed Generation Systems (PEDG), 2010 2nd IEEE International Symposium on
  • Conference_Location
    Hefei, China
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-5669-7
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/PEDG.2010.5545899
  • Filename
    5545899