Title :
Forecasting of wind speed based on wavelet analysis and support vector machine
Author :
Songlin, Zhou ; Meiqin, Mao ; Chang, Liuchen
Author_Institution :
Res. Center for Photovoltaic Syst. Eng. Minist. of Educ., Hefei Univ. of Technol., Hefei, China
Abstract :
A new forecasting method of wind speed based on wavelet analysis and support vector machine is proposed in this paper. By the method, firstly, the original wind speed sequences are decomposed into coarse components and detail components, and secondly, every wavelet components are separately forecasted with corresponding support vector machine models. Finally, the forecasting results of original wind speed series are achieved by using wavelet reconstruction. The experimental results by simulation prove that this method is capable of improving generalization performance and forecasting precision. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) reaches 8.21%.
Keywords :
Accuracy; Forecasting; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Wavelet analysis; Wind forecasting; Wind speed; Generalization performance; Support vector machine; Wavelet analysis; Wind speed forecasting;
Conference_Titel :
Power Electronics for Distributed Generation Systems (PEDG), 2010 2nd IEEE International Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Hefei, China
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-5669-7
DOI :
10.1109/PEDG.2010.5545899