DocumentCode
3497075
Title
Forecasting of wind speed based on wavelet analysis and support vector machine
Author
Songlin, Zhou ; Meiqin, Mao ; Chang, Liuchen
Author_Institution
Res. Center for Photovoltaic Syst. Eng. Minist. of Educ., Hefei Univ. of Technol., Hefei, China
fYear
2010
fDate
16-18 June 2010
Firstpage
864
Lastpage
867
Abstract
A new forecasting method of wind speed based on wavelet analysis and support vector machine is proposed in this paper. By the method, firstly, the original wind speed sequences are decomposed into coarse components and detail components, and secondly, every wavelet components are separately forecasted with corresponding support vector machine models. Finally, the forecasting results of original wind speed series are achieved by using wavelet reconstruction. The experimental results by simulation prove that this method is capable of improving generalization performance and forecasting precision. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) reaches 8.21%.
Keywords
Accuracy; Forecasting; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Wavelet analysis; Wind forecasting; Wind speed; Generalization performance; Support vector machine; Wavelet analysis; Wind speed forecasting;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Power Electronics for Distributed Generation Systems (PEDG), 2010 2nd IEEE International Symposium on
Conference_Location
Hefei, China
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-5669-7
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/PEDG.2010.5545899
Filename
5545899
Link To Document