DocumentCode :
3506295
Title :
Risk prediction of project scheduling based cloud model
Author :
Kong, Deyu ; Liu, Lu ; Miao, Rui ; Yin, Lu
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Beihang Univ., Beijing
Volume :
2
fYear :
2008
fDate :
12-15 Oct. 2008
Firstpage :
2553
Lastpage :
2557
Abstract :
In project scheduling management, cloud operation and cloud model are introduced for a better consideration of both randomicity and fuzziness in project scheduling, as well as their relationship, giving us a clearer view of uncertainty in the project. Traditional methods, like probability statistics analysis and fuzzy mathematics, focus on their respective fields, that is, the former attaches more importance on randomicity while the latter considers fuzziness only. Based on the normal cloud model of project optimal scheduling, we have calculated the certainty index of completion probability and completion risk, and also made a relative analysis of randomicity and fuzziness, so that more information is provided for project management and decision.
Keywords :
fuzzy set theory; probability; project management; risk management; scheduling; statistical analysis; cloud model; fuzzy mathematics; probability statistic analysis; project optimal scheduling management; random relative analysis; risk prediction; cloud model; fuzziness; project scheduling; randomicity; uncertainty;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Service Operations and Logistics, and Informatics, 2008. IEEE/SOLI 2008. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Beijing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2012-4
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2013-1
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/SOLI.2008.4682966
Filename :
4682966
Link To Document :
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