Title :
Forecasting micro electro mechanical systems: a disruptive innovation
Author :
Linton, Jonathan D. ; Walsh, Steven T.
Author_Institution :
Polytech. Univ. Brooklyn, NY, USA
Abstract :
Two alternative methods for forecasting micro electro mechanical systems (MEMS)-a type of disruptive innovation are offered. The first method improves upon the currently used method by considering pro-innovation bias and distributional effects of expert opinions. The second method builds upon the established forecasting literature. Both methods are described in a detailed applied manner to encourage and facilitate their future use
Keywords :
micromechanical devices; research and development management; technological forecasting; disruptive innovation; expert opinions distributional effects; forecasting literature; microelectromechanical systems forecasting; pro-innovation bias; Economic forecasting; Marketing and sales; Measurement; Mechanical systems; Micromechanical devices; Performance gain; Technological innovation;
Conference_Titel :
Management of Engineering and Technology, 2001. PICMET '01. Portland International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Portland, OR
Print_ISBN :
1-890843-06-7
DOI :
10.1109/PICMET.2001.952039
