DocumentCode
3514009
Title
Comparison of probability of failure by monte carlo (MC) and number theoretical net (NT-net) simulation
Author
Wen, Zejun
Author_Institution
Hunan Provincial Key Lab. of Health Maintenance for Mech. Equip., Hunan Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Xiangtan, China
fYear
2009
fDate
20-24 July 2009
Firstpage
391
Lastpage
394
Abstract
As performance requirements of engineering structures are becoming more ambitious, the need for analysis of uncertainties and computation of probabilities has been growing. Based on poor computational accuracy at small to median sample sizes of Monte Carlo (MC) simulation techniques in estimating the probability failure of engineering structures, the number theoretical net (NT-net) methodology is proposed to reduce computing effort. A comparison of both the Monte Carlo (MC) and the number theoretical net (NT-net) in estimating probability of failure is provided. The simulation result for a cantilever beam shows that the sample size needed by NT-net method is about 10% of that necessary by the MC-based method to achieve the same level accuracy.
Keywords
Monte Carlo methods; beams (structures); cantilevers; estimation theory; failure analysis; number theory; probability; sampling methods; MC-based method; Monte Carlo simulation technique; NT-net simulation; cantilever beam; engineering structure; failure probability estimation; median sample size; number theoretical net simulation; performance requirements; Analytical models; Computational modeling; Design engineering; Laboratories; Monte Carlo methods; Performance analysis; Sampling methods; Structural beams; Uncertainty; Yield estimation; Monte Carlo simulation; cantilever beam; failure probability;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Reliability, Maintainability and Safety, 2009. ICRMS 2009. 8th International Conference on
Conference_Location
Chengdu
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-4903-3
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-4905-7
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICRMS.2009.5270164
Filename
5270164
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