Study on the Electricity Demand in the Northern Zone of Anzoátegui State for Term 2005-2024

This paper deals with the voltage and energy forecasts in 2005-2004 for CADAFE´s substations located in the northern zone of Anzoategui State. The voltage forecasts were generated by means of techniques based on time series analysis, whereas the energy forecasts were obtained by modeling the load per substations through the duration curve of the load recorded in 2004. Two scenarios are addressed for electricity demand taking into consideration external variables, such as the start-up of new projects. The substations electricity demand for the aforementioned term is estimated to naturally increase on an average rate of 2.89% and 3.03%. A higher increase is expected in the short run, which means that the electricity demands grows faster than population (1.40%)