DocumentCode :
3516972
Title :
Estimation of Car Demand in Iranian Market: Using Discrete Choice Model
Author :
Saeedi, Hamid ; Ardakani, Mohsen Fattahi ; Shahbazi, Mohammad Javad
Author_Institution :
Marketing Dept., TNA Consulting Eng. Co., Tehran, Iran
fYear :
2010
fDate :
27-29 Jan. 2010
Firstpage :
231
Lastpage :
237
Abstract :
In this article, car demand in Iranian market has been estimated. At the first, Total demand function was estimated and The results show that car is a highly elastic commodity in Iran. Its price elasticity coefficient and income elasticity coefficient are 1.3 and 2.93, respectively. Furthermore socio-economical parameters affecting car ownership have been analyzed according to Iran household budget data using Discrete choice Models. This research shows how characteristics of household like residential location of household, gender, literacy, marital status and educational level of head of the household and fuel price variations change the probability of car ownership. Results show that Finally, Socio-Economic Parameters Affecting Household Ownership of Different Classes of Cars Have been Analyzed.
Keywords :
automobiles; marketing data processing; socio-economic effects; Iranian market; car demand; commodity; discrete choice models; household budget data; income elasticity coefficient; price elasticity coefficient; socio-economical parameters; Books; Costs; Demography; Elasticity; Fuels; Intelligent transportation systems; Java; Logistics; Predictive models; Road transportation; Iranian car Market; car demand; discrete choice model; logit; ordered probit; probit;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Systems, Modelling and Simulation (ISMS), 2010 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Liverpool
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-5984-1
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ISMS.2010.51
Filename :
5416088
Link To Document :
بازگشت