DocumentCode :
3519599
Title :
Passenger Flow Forecast of Urban Rail Transit Based on BP Neural Networks
Author :
Zhang Dongquan ; Wang Lina
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Mech., Electron. & Control Eng., Beijing Jiaotong Univ., Beijing, China
fYear :
2011
fDate :
28-29 May 2011
Firstpage :
1
Lastpage :
4
Abstract :
Firstly, according to the Beijing urban rail transit network characteristics and based on the data of the historical passenger flow, the passenger flow in sections is distributed and the referenced passenger flow in sections is gotten on the theoretical basis of the shortest path distribution of static unbalanced distribution model. Then through a lot of BP neural network modeling experiments, a reasonable prediction model is established to aim at Beijing urban rail transit passenger flow forecast problem. Finally, through using the BP neural network model, transfer passenger flow in sections is predicted from Fuxingmen to Fuchengmen station on Beijing urban rail transit Line 2 and reasonable passenger flow forecast results are gotten to prepare for passenger traffic scheduling system research.
Keywords :
backpropagation; neural nets; rail traffic; traffic engineering computing; BP neural network; Beijing urban rail transit network; backpropagation; passenger flow forecast; passenger traffic scheduling system; shortest path distribution; static unbalanced distribution model; Artificial neural networks; Mean square error methods; Predictive models; Rails; Roads; Training; Transfer functions;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Systems and Applications (ISA), 2011 3rd International Workshop on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-9855-0
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-9857-4
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ISA.2011.5873288
Filename :
5873288
Link To Document :
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