DocumentCode :
3521699
Title :
A Combination Predicted Model of Short Term Traffic Flow
Author :
Bin-sheng, Liu ; Zhan-wen, Xing ; Hai-tao, Yang ; Yu-peng, Hou
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Manage., Harbin Inst. of Technol.
fYear :
2006
fDate :
5-7 Oct. 2006
Firstpage :
2075
Lastpage :
2080
Abstract :
In order to increase the precision of forecast, this paper proposes a combination forecasting model in short term traffic flow based on wavelet neural network. The model consists of the following stages: first, the relevant forecasting variable to the traffic flow is selected by use data mining technology such as the genetic algorithm; second, training pattern of wavelet neural network which is similar to the forecast term is carried out by using data mining technology; finally the wavelet neural network is used to carry on forecasting the traffic flow. Through forecasting traffic flow at Xinhua Street in Huhehot, the result shows that this model has a higher precision and surpasses gray model and the BP artificial neural network model, which provides a new reliable and effective way of forecasting short term traffic flow of nodes in urban road network
Keywords :
backpropagation; data mining; forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; grey systems; matrix algebra; neural nets; road traffic; traffic engineering computing; BP artificial neural network; correlation coefficient; data mining; discernibility matrix; forecasting model; genetic algorithm; gray model; short term traffic flow; urban road network; wavelet neural network; Artificial neural networks; Communication system traffic control; Data mining; Genetic algorithms; Neural networks; Predictive models; Set theory; Technology forecasting; Telecommunication traffic; Traffic control; Correlation coefficients; Discernibility matrix; Short term traffic flow; Wavelet neural network;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Management Science and Engineering, 2006. ICMSE '06. 2006 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Lille
Print_ISBN :
7-5603-2355-3
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICMSE.2006.314134
Filename :
4105238
Link To Document :
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