• DocumentCode
    3521699
  • Title

    A Combination Predicted Model of Short Term Traffic Flow

  • Author

    Bin-sheng, Liu ; Zhan-wen, Xing ; Hai-tao, Yang ; Yu-peng, Hou

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Manage., Harbin Inst. of Technol.
  • fYear
    2006
  • fDate
    5-7 Oct. 2006
  • Firstpage
    2075
  • Lastpage
    2080
  • Abstract
    In order to increase the precision of forecast, this paper proposes a combination forecasting model in short term traffic flow based on wavelet neural network. The model consists of the following stages: first, the relevant forecasting variable to the traffic flow is selected by use data mining technology such as the genetic algorithm; second, training pattern of wavelet neural network which is similar to the forecast term is carried out by using data mining technology; finally the wavelet neural network is used to carry on forecasting the traffic flow. Through forecasting traffic flow at Xinhua Street in Huhehot, the result shows that this model has a higher precision and surpasses gray model and the BP artificial neural network model, which provides a new reliable and effective way of forecasting short term traffic flow of nodes in urban road network
  • Keywords
    backpropagation; data mining; forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; grey systems; matrix algebra; neural nets; road traffic; traffic engineering computing; BP artificial neural network; correlation coefficient; data mining; discernibility matrix; forecasting model; genetic algorithm; gray model; short term traffic flow; urban road network; wavelet neural network; Artificial neural networks; Communication system traffic control; Data mining; Genetic algorithms; Neural networks; Predictive models; Set theory; Technology forecasting; Telecommunication traffic; Traffic control; Correlation coefficients; Discernibility matrix; Short term traffic flow; Wavelet neural network;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Management Science and Engineering, 2006. ICMSE '06. 2006 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Lille
  • Print_ISBN
    7-5603-2355-3
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMSE.2006.314134
  • Filename
    4105238