DocumentCode
3529906
Title
Time series forecasting using multilayer neural network constructed by a Monte-Carlo based algorithm
Author
Xin, Peiming ; Zhao, Hong
Author_Institution
Phys. Dept., Xiamen Univ., Xiamen, China
fYear
2009
fDate
23-24 Aug. 2009
Firstpage
264
Lastpage
267
Abstract
In this paper we use a multilayer neural network (MNN) constructed by a Monte Carlo based algorithm to forecast time series events. Experiments are carried out on two benchmark problems in time series forecasting literature. Our result shows a comparative performance with other prediction methods. In our approach, a multilayer neural network with high level of generalization ability is obtained without sensible choice of external parameters.
Keywords
Monte Carlo methods; feedforward neural nets; forecasting theory; time series; Monte Carlo based algorithm; multilayer neural network; time series forecasting; Artificial neural networks; Feedforward neural networks; Feedforward systems; Monte Carlo methods; Multi-layer neural network; Neural networks; Physics; Prediction methods; Risk management; Support vector machines;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Web Society, 2009. SWS '09. 1st IEEE Symposium on
Conference_Location
Lanzhou
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-4157-0
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-4158-7
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/SWS.2009.5271810
Filename
5271810
Link To Document