DocumentCode :
3531384
Title :
Fibonacci sequence and EWMA for intrusion forecasting system
Author :
Pontes, Elvis ; Zucchi, Wagner L.
Author_Institution :
Technol. Res. Inst. of Sao, São Paulo, Brazil
fYear :
2010
fDate :
5-8 July 2010
Firstpage :
404
Lastpage :
411
Abstract :
Availability and reliability from information systems have been threatened by intrusions and Unwanted Internet Traffic (UIT). To protect systems from UIT, it is desirable developing techniques that detect and forecast UIT. Intending to improve intrusion detection, in our earlier work we proposed an approach to cope with UIT in a proactive manner, using forecasting techniques combined with Return on Security Investment (ROSI). In this paper we examine the applicability of a cooperative architecture regarding forecasts of UIT on a more complex set-up, with hosts associated with sites geographically divided. The aim of this paper is to detail the employment of EWMA and Fibonacci forecasting techniques covering three major gaps of current prediction techniques concerning UIT: sensors employment, the use of just one prediction technique and forecasts´ sharing. A proof of concept of such architecture is presented, which allows concluding about the improvement in forecasts for IDS to deal with UIT.
Keywords :
Fibonacci sequences; Internet; security of data; EWMA; Fibonacci sequence; Return on Security Investment; cooperative architecture; forecast sharing; information system availability; information system reliability; intrusion detection; intrusion forecasting system; intrusion threat; prediction technique; sensor employment; system protection; unwanted Internet traffic; Employment; Forecasting; Internet; Prototypes; Random access memory; Security; Sensors;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Digital Information Management (ICDIM), 2010 Fifth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Thunder Bay, ON
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7572-8
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICDIM.2010.5664238
Filename :
5664238
Link To Document :
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