• DocumentCode
    3563868
  • Title

    Forecasting students´ future academic records using Bayesian network

  • Author

    Itoh, Hirotaka ; Itoh, Yuma ; Funahashi, Kenji ; Yamamoto, Daisuke ; Saito, Shoichi ; Matsuo, Hiroshi ; Takumi, Ichi

  • Author_Institution
    Inf. Technol. Center, Nagoya Inst. of Technol., Nagoya, Japan
  • fYear
    2014
  • Firstpage
    458
  • Lastpage
    462
  • Abstract
    Most educational institutions nowadays digitally manage their students´ data, which are maintained on servers on campus. We intend to use these data in order to provide academic guidance. Thus, in this study, we forecast students´ future academic records using smart card based time recording data and grade data. We use a Bayesian network as our forecasting method. We accordingly revised the data and the variables when designing the Bayesian network forecasting model. We also increased the amount of data and modified the method used to discretize the objective variable, which improved forecasting accuracy.
  • Keywords
    belief networks; educational administrative data processing; educational institutions; Bayesian network forecasting model; educational institutions; forecasting accuracy; forecasting method; grade data; smart card; student future academic records; students data; Accuracy; Bayes methods; Educational institutions; Forecasting; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Smart cards; Bayesian Network; Information gain;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Soft Computing and Intelligent Systems (SCIS), 2014 Joint 7th International Conference on and Advanced Intelligent Systems (ISIS), 15th International Symposium on
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/SCIS-ISIS.2014.7044824
  • Filename
    7044824