Title :
Wind Speed Prediction with high efficiency convex optimization Support Vector Machine
Author :
Xiangjie Liu ; Xiaobing Kong ; Lee, Kwang Y.
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Control & Comput. Eng., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
Accurate prediction of wind speed is one of the most valuable ways to solve the problems of electricity security, stability and quality which are caused by the wind energy production for power system. This article constitutes a wind speed prediction with high efficiency convex optimization support vector machine(SVM). The principal component analysis is utilized to determine the outcome of the major factors affecting the wind speed. With increasing number of the parameters in SVM structure, particle swarm optimization (PSO) is incorporated to optimizing the parameters. Detailed analysis and simulation using the real time wind power plant data demonstrate the effectiveness of the SVM forecasting approach.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; particle swarm optimisation; principal component analysis; support vector machines; wind power; wind power plants; PSO; SVM forecasting approach; convex optimization support vector machine; electricity security; particle swarm optimization; principal component analysis; wind energy production; wind power plant data; wind speed prediction; Data models; Forecasting; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Wind forecasting; Wind power generation; Wind speed; principal component analysis; support vector machine; wind speed prediction;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Control and Automation (WCICA), 2014 11th World Congress on
DOI :
10.1109/WCICA.2014.7052837