Title :
A method for evaluating reserve capacity in middle and long term electric power balance
Author :
Yongkai Zhang ; Zhaohong Bie ; Chun Xia ; Yanling Lin ; Yujie Gao ; Guangtao Ning
Author_Institution :
State Key Lab. of Electr. Insulation & Power Equip., Xi´an Jiaotong Univ., Xi´an, China
Abstract :
Evaluating power system reserve capacity is an important procedure to analyze the middle and long electric power balance. This paper proposes a method, which considers load forecast error and wind power forecast error, to calculate reserve capacity in the timescale of month. Outage replacement rate(ORR) is used in this method to replace the traditional FOR. Commitment risk is applied in this method to provide a probabilistic criterion. Case study shows the correctness of this method.
Keywords :
load forecasting; power system reliability; wind power; ORR; load forecast error; long term electric power balance; outage replacement rate; power system reserve capacity evaluation method; probabilistic criterion; wind power forecast error; Capacity planning; Frequency conversion; Load forecasting; Spinning; Wind forecasting; Wind power generation; commitment risk; electric power balance; interconnected power system; load forecast error; reserve capacity; wind power forecast error;
Conference_Titel :
Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC), 2014 IEEE PES Asia-Pacific
DOI :
10.1109/APPEEC.2014.7066055
